مشخصات پژوهش

صفحه نخست /Forecasting mortality rate by ...
عنوان Forecasting mortality rate by multivariate singular spectrum analysis
نوع پژوهش مقاله چاپ‌شده در مجلات علمی
کلیدواژه‌ها multivariate singular spectrum analysis, forecasting, mortality
چکیده In this paper, we investigate the possibility of using multivariate singular spectrum analysis (SSA), a nonparametric technique in the field of time series analysis, for mortality forecasting. We consider a real data application with 9 European countries: Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, and Switzerland, over a period 1900 to 2009, and a simulation study based on the data set. The results show the superiority of multivariate SSA in comparison with the univariate SSA, in terms of forecasting accuracy.
پژوهشگران رحیم محمودوند (نفر اول)، دیمیتریوس کونستانتینیدس (نفر دوم)، پائولو رودریگوئز (نفر سوم)