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Rahim Mahmoudvand

Rahim Mahmoudvand

Academic rank: Associate Professor
ORCID:
Education: PhD.
ScopusId: 35146363700
HIndex:
Faculty: Faculty of Science
Address:
Phone:

Research

Title
FORECASTING DAILY EXCHANGE RATES: A COMPARISON BETWEEN SSA AND MSSA
Type
JournalPaper
Keywords
multivariate singular spectrum analysis; univariate singular spectrum analysis; forecasting; exchange rates
Year
2019
Journal REVSTAT-Statistical Journal
DOI
Researchers Rahim Mahmoudvand ، Paulo Rodrigues ، Masoud Yarmohammadi

Abstract

In this paper, daily exchange rates in four of the BRICS emerging economies: Brazil, India, China and South Africa, over the period 2001 to 2015 are considered. In order to predict the future of exchange rate in these countries, it is possible to use both univariate and multivariate time series techniques. Among different time series analysis methods, we choose singular spectrum analysis (SSA), as it is a relatively powerful non-parametric technique and requires the fewest assumptions to be hold in practice. Both multivariate and univariate versions of SSA are considered to predict the daily currency exchange rates. The results show the superiority of MSSA, when compared with univariate SSA, in terms of mean squared error.