2025 : 4 : 21
Rahim Mahmoudvand

Rahim Mahmoudvand

Academic rank: Associate Professor
ORCID:
Education: PhD.
ScopusId: 35146363700
HIndex:
Faculty: Faculty of Science
Address:
Phone:

Research

Title
A new parsimonious recurrent forecasting model in singular spectrum analysis
Type
JournalPaper
Keywords
bootstrap, singular spectrum analysis, window length
Year
2018
Journal JOURNAL OF FORECASTING
DOI
Researchers Rahim Mahmoudvand ، Paulo Rodrigues

Abstract

Singular spectrum analysis (SSA) is a powerful nonparametric method in the area of time series analysis that has shown its capability in different applications areas. SSA depends on two main choices: the window length L and the number of eigentriples used for grouping r. One of the most important issues when analyzing time series is the forecast of new observations. When using SSA for time series forecasting there are several alternative algorithms, the most widely used being the recurrent forecasting model, which assumes that a given observation can be written as a linear combination of the L−1 previous observations. However, when the window length L is large, the forecasting model is unlikely to be parsimonious. In this paper we propose a new parsimonious recurrent forecasting model that uses an optimal m(