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mohsen BABAEI

mohsen BABAEI

Academic rank: Assistant Professor
ORCID:
Education: PhD.
ScopusId: 6602386569
HIndex:
Faculty: Faculty of Engineering
Address:
Phone: 09122332824

Research

Title
Estimation of travel time reliability in large-scale networks
Type
JournalPaper
Keywords
Travel time reliability, Large-scale transportation networks, Universal generating function (UGF), Monte Carlo simulation
Year
2016
Journal Transportation Letters-The International Journal of Transportation Research
DOI
Researchers mohsen BABAEI ، Mojtaba Rajabi-Bahaabadi ، Afshin Shariat-Mohaymany

Abstract

Over the last two decades, travel time reliability has been increasingly used as a key performance indicator of transportation networks. Central to the assessment of travel time reliability is the estimation of the probability mass function (PMF) of total network travel time. This paper aims to present an efficient method to estimate the PMF of total network travel time using the universal generating function (UGF) method. Moreover, the paper proposes two truncation techniques to increase the computational efficiency of the UGF method. In order to assess the applicability of the method in practice, the method is tested on different networks. The results suggest that the method is computationally much more efficient than the standard crude Monte Carlo simulation technique at different confidence levels, and that it can be applied to real-world cases with a reasonable computation time.